Romney Surges to Lead Over Obama in Pew Poll

[mikesilvia]

Bolstered by a strong performance in the first presidential debate last week, Mitt Romney now leads President Obama by four points among likely voters, according to a new national poll from Pew Research.In Pew's last poll, released in mid-September, Obama led Romney by eight points, 51-43. Now, however, Romney leads the president, 49 percent to 45 percent. The poll was conducted among likely voters from Oct. 4-7.The Pew survey comes on the same day that Gallup also reported a surge for the former Massachusetts governor. Gallup found Obama and Romney tied at 47 percent among registered...

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[pghin08]

Where are our "polls are biased" people?

[Wickabee]

They fall back into the shadows when one favours their guy.

[pwaldo]

I'm not going to say Pew is bad at polling but a 12 point swing? Either their first poll wasn't good or this poll wasn't good or both weren't. You don't get a swing that large after one debate.

[INTIMADATOR2007]

Obama has been exposed as the fraud he is on national TV, The race for president will not be close ...Romney in a landslide !

[JustAlex]

Obama has been exposed as the fraud he is on national TV, The race for president will not be close ...Romney in a landslide !

Dude....you do realize that the popular poll means NOTHING!

Absolutely NOTHING in the end.

You do realize that the ONLY thing that matters in the electoral college.....allow me to present you it ONE more time:

http://electoral-vote.com/


^This is updated DAILY and nothing has changed too much.....Obama still wins by a very sizable margin. (332 - 206)

Even if by some miracle Romney wins the popular vote, Obama still wins the election.

[INTIMADATOR2007]

Dude....you do realize that the popular poll means NOTHING!

Absolutely NOTHING in the end.

You do realize that the ONLY thing that matters in the electoral college.....allow me to present you it ONE more time:

http://electoral-vote.com/


^This is updated DAILY and nothing has changed too much.....Obama still wins by a very sizable margin. (332 - 206)

Even if by some miracle Romney wins the popular vote, Obama still wins the election.

I think i'll go with the people who have been right every year there has been a presidential election since 1980..

http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/23/un...ig-romney-win/
A presidential election prediction model developed by two University of Colorado professors points to a big win for GOP presidential contender Mitt Romney in November.
The model, the only of its kind to use more than one state-level economic indicator, has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1980.
It predicts Romney winning the electoral college by a 320-218 margin and winning 52.9 percent of the popular vote when only the two major parties’ candidates are considered, the Associated Press reported Thursday.


Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/23/un...#ixzz28lN91voa

[*censored*]

when only the two major parties’ candidates are considered

Key words to the above. More third party voters this year seem to lean Romney than lean Obama, so that takes a significant chunk of his support out of the picture. The Republicans are vastly splintered. Many of them want to support the Republicans but hate Romney as a candidate.

That Colorado model has every swing state going Romney. Highly unlikely. You can claim all you want that it's been right every other time.

Who cares?

Know what else was right every time until 2004? The winner of the Washington Redskins' game the week before the election. Past correctness does not imply any sort of correctness in the present or future.

[JustAlex]

^OK....so you're going with a prediction based on assumptions that are NOT reflected by what we see right now.

I'm giving you an up-to-date electoral map which has been consistent for months.

But whatever, I'll give you credit, at least you were able to give me a link to why you think Romney will win.

[JustAlex]

That Colorado model has every swing state going Romney. Highly unlikely.

That too....

In fact, right now most of the Swing states are leaning towards Obama, including Ohio which is at 51 -46 Obama as of Oct. 4.

And guess what.....The GOP has NEVER won the white house without Ohio!