10-08-2012, 07:30 PM #1
Romney Surges to Lead Over Obama in Pew Poll
Bolstered by a strong performance in the first presidential debate last week, Mitt Romney now leads President Obama by four points among likely voters, according to a new national poll from Pew Research.In Pew's last poll, released in mid-September, Obama led Romney by eight points, 51-43. Now, however, Romney leads the president, 49 percent to 45 percent. The poll was conducted among likely voters from Oct. 4-7.The Pew survey comes on the same day that Gallup also reported a surge for the former Massachusetts governor. Gallup found Obama and Romney tied at 47 percent among registered...
10-08-2012, 09:14 PM #2
Where are our "polls are biased" people?Blog: Hidden Content
Steven Jackson Collection- 30 RCs, 160 #D, 182 GU/Patch, 23 AU, 8 Au/Jsy, Three 1/1
Jermaine Gresham: 29 RCs, 26 #D, 30 GU/Patch, 25 AU, 29 Au/Jsy
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Josh Johnson: 16 RCs, 9 #D, 17 Autos
10-08-2012, 09:23 PM #3
10-08-2012, 09:29 PM #4
I'm not going to say Pew is bad at polling but a 12 point swing? Either their first poll wasn't good or this poll wasn't good or both weren't. You don't get a swing that large after one debate.Trade Bucket: Hidden Content
10-08-2012, 09:32 PM #5
10-08-2012, 09:36 PM #6
Absolutely NOTHING in the end.
You do realize that the ONLY thing that matters in the electoral college.....allow me to present you it ONE more time:
^This is updated DAILY and nothing has changed too much.....Obama still wins by a very sizable margin. (332 - 206)
Even if by some miracle Romney wins the popular vote, Obama still wins the election.Logic and Reason is all you need.
10-08-2012, 09:57 PM #7
A presidential election prediction model developed by two University of Colorado professors points to a big win for GOP presidential contender Mitt Romney in November.
The model, the only of its kind to use more than one state-level economic indicator, has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1980.
It predicts Romney winning the electoral college by a 320-218 margin and winning 52.9 percent of the popular vote when only the two major parties’ candidates are considered, the Associated Press reported Thursday.
Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/23/un...#ixzz28lN91voa
10-08-2012, 10:03 PM #8
That Colorado model has every swing state going Romney. Highly unlikely. You can claim all you want that it's been right every other time.
Know what else was right every time until 2004? The winner of the Washington Redskins' game the week before the election. Past correctness does not imply any sort of correctness in the present or future.
10-08-2012, 10:08 PM #9
^OK....so you're going with a prediction based on assumptions that are NOT reflected by what we see right now.
I'm giving you an up-to-date electoral map which has been consistent for months.
But whatever, I'll give you credit, at least you were able to give me a link to why you think Romney will win.Logic and Reason is all you need.
10-08-2012, 10:14 PM #10