View Full Version : Minority Turnout & the Racial Breakdown of Polls

08-29-2012, 07:50 PM
Why is Obama so confident?A lot of pundits are asking that question these days. New York Magazine's Jon Chait set forth a nice summary of varying hypotheses in a blog post Tuesday.Most of the arguments are really just speculation about the motivations behind various candidate moves. For example, it may well be, as Chait suggests, that Mitt Romney chose Paul Ryan as his running mate because he felt he needed to shake up the race.On the other hand, one could just as easily speculate that Romney was confident of victory (pre-convention undecideds do, after all, tend to break toward the...

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