3x Mega Boxes of 2021 Panini Prizm Draft Picks

[jplcom]

Base - 108
54 veterans
32 rookies
11 crusades
11 all americans

Red Cracked Ice - 66
33 veterans
20 rookies
7 crusades
6 all americans

Prizm Silver - 6

Red Cracked Ice Autographs - 3


I think the most impressive thing about these boxes is that I did not get one single duplicate card. I would always hope and expect that within a box itself I wouldn't get dupes, but across 3 boxes it's understandable to double or triple up. The cards feel as nice as any Prizm product does. Collectors will not be disappointed by the quality. The boxes I opened came from Target and featured Cracked Red Ice parallels which look very nice for most teams.

The set checklist is 200 cards, the first 100 veterans, the next 60 rookies, then 20 Crusade subset cards, and finally 20 All Americans subset cards. 14 rookies including Justin Fields, Mac Jones, Trevor Lawrence, and Zach Wilson appear 3 times within Panini Prizm Draft Picks set. The set is organized with the first 34 cards quarterbacks, the next 39 cards mostly WRs with Alvin Kamara and 3 TE's sprinkled in, then the next 25 cards all running backs, finishing off with 2 defensive players to make up the veterans. Rookies appear to be organized based on school name to start (Alabama, BYU, Clemson, etc) but quickly changes to random card assignments. The first 30 cards appear to be mostly offensive players with the next 30 mostly defensive players.

The Prizm Draft Picks Blaster box consists of 12 packs with 5 cards per pack, plus a bonus 1 card pack that contains the autograph. Based on my sample size of 3 boxes, you can expect the following:

Base - 36 cards = 18 veterans, 10-11 rookies, 3-4 Crusades, and 3-4 All Americans
Silver parallels - 2 cards = 1 veteran and 1 rookie/Crusade/All Americans
Red Cracked Ice - 22 cards = 11 veterans, 6-7 rookies, 2-3 crusades, 2-3 All Americans
Red Cracked Ice Auto - 1 card

Is a subset card any more or less rare than a base card?

Base Veterans = 100
Base Rookies = 60
Base Crusades = 20
Base All Americans = 20

Of a 200 card set, one would expect to find 50% veterans, 30% rookies, 10% Crusades, and 10% All Americans.

Base Veterans = 54 / 108 = 50%
Base Rookies = 32 / 108 = 29.6%
Base Crusades = 11 / 108 = 10.2%
Base All Americans = 11 / 108 = 10.2%

In this case I pretty much hit the expected distribution. Even though I pulled fewer rookies, crusades, and all americans compared to veterans, due to their smaller checklists I pulled the expected relative quantities. Meaning that no one card is any more rare than another in the base set.

How'd I do with the Cracked Ice Red? Take the same 200 card set breakdown of 50%/30%/10%/10% for the main and subsets.

Base Veterans = 33 / 66 = 50%
Base Rookies = 20 / 66 = 30.3%
Base Crusades = 7 / 66 = 10.6%
Base All Americans = 6 / 66 = 9.1%

Again I hit the expected distribution. This means in terms of scarcity, a Trevor Lawrence base Prizm DP vs Crusade vs All Americans are equal to each other and would not command a premium due to that. Arguments can be made aplenty that the base copy is the more desirable one and the subsets not as much. But know that in terms of the odds of pulling a specific card, you have no greater or lesser odds of pulling any 1 specific card in the 200 card set for base and Red Cracked Ice.


Here's the list of what all I pulled. Everything is for trade except for Justin Fields.

--------------BASE
Card # Player
2 Deshaun Watson
3 Joe Burrow
6 Tom Brady
7 Patrick Mahomes II
8 Russell Wilson
9 Dak Prescott
12 Jared Goff
15 Aaron Rodgers
16 Drew Brees
19 Matthew Stafford
22 Kirk Cousins
23 Ben Roethlisberger
24 Daniel Jones
25 Baker Mayfield
29 Sam Darnold
30 Drew Lock
33 Jordan Love
34 Jacob Eason
37 Stefon Diggs
38 Tyler Boyd
39 Alvin Kamara
42 Keenan Allen
44 Darren Waller
45 Calvin Ridley
48 CeeDee Lamb
49 Davante Adams
50 George Kittle
52 Adam Thielen
53 JuJu Smith-Schuster
54 Chase Claypool
57 DK Metcalf
58 Will Fuller V
61 Odell Beckham Jr.
64 Mike Evans
65 Chris Godwin
66 Julian Edelman
67 Jerry Jeudy
69 Deebo Samuel
72 Jalen Reagor
73 Michael Pittman Jr.
76 Jonathan Taylor
79 Antonio Gibson
80 Joshua Kelley
81 Derrick Henry
82 Kenyan Drake
86 James Robinson
87 Ezekiel Elliott
90 Nick Chubb
91 James Conner
92 Miles Sanders
94 Darrell Henderson
95 Josh Jacobs
96 David Johnson
99 Chase Young
102 Najee Harris
104 Mac Jones
105 Zach Wilson
107 Travis Etienne Jr.
112 Ja'Marr Chase
114 Nico Collins
115 Chris Evans
117 Kadarius Toney
119 Javian Hawkins
120 Trey Lance
122 Marquez Stevenson
126 Tylan Wallace
129 Rondale Moore
130 Patrick Jones II
132 Kellen Mond
134 Sage Surratt
135 Jamie Newman
137 Shaun Wade
139 Carlos Basham Jr.
140 Dylan Moses
142 Jaycee Horn
144 Greg Rousseau
145 Kwity Paye
147 Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
149 Jevon Holland
150 Joseph Ossai
152 Rakeem Boyd
154 Jayson Oweh
155 Tyson Campbell
157 Terrace Marshall Jr.
159 Trey Sermon
160 Tyler Vaughns
161 Trevor Lawrence CRU
162 Ja'Marr Chase CRU
165 DeVonta Smith CRU
166 Rashod Bateman CRU
168 Zach Wilson CRU
172 Najee Harris CRU
174 Jamie Newman CRU
175 Micah Parsons CRU
177 Sage Surratt CRU
179 Greg Rousseau CRU
180 Terrace Marshall Jr. CRU
182 Zach Wilson AA
185 Ja'Marr Chase AA
187 Rondale Moore AA
188 Micah Parsons AA
190 Dylan Moses AA
191 Shaun Wade AA
192 Justin Fields AA
194 Kenneth Gainwell AA
196 Rashod Bateman AA
197 Carlos Basham Jr. AA
199 Patrick Surtain II AA


-------------Cracked Red Ice
2 Deshaun Watson
4 Josh Allen
7 Patrick Mahomes II
11 Kyler Murray
14 Derek Carr
17 Philip Rivers
21 Tua Tagovailoa
23 Ben Roethlisberger
29 Sam Darnold
31 Jarrett Stidham
34 Jacob Eason
35 DeAndre Hopkins
38 Tyler Boyd
41 Allen Robinson II
44 Darren Waller
46 Travis Kelce
49 Davante Adams
53 JuJu Smith-Schuster
56 Justin Jefferson
59 Tyreek Hill
60 Tee Higgins
63 Laviska Shenault Jr.
65 Chris Godwin
72 Jalen Reagor
74 Clyde Edwards-Helaire
78 J.K. Dobbins
81 Derrick Henry
84 Ronald Jones II
86 James Robinson
88 Saquon Barkley
91 James Conner
95 Josh Jacobs
98 Chris Carson
102 Najee Harris
107 Travis Etienne Jr.
112 Ja'Marr Chase
117 Kadarius Toney
122 Marquez Stevenson
126 Tylan Wallace
127 Pat Freiermuth
133 Amon-Ra St. Brown
135 Jamie Newman
136 Micah Parsons
138 Caleb Farley
140 Dylan Moses
143 Patrick Surtain II
145 Kwity Paye
148 Nick Bolton
150 Joseph Ossai
153 Seth Williams
155 Tyson Campbell
158 Michael Carter
160 Tyler Vaughns
162 Ja'Marr Chase CRU
168 Zach Wilson CRU
170 Mac Jones CRU
173 Pat Freiermuth CRU
175 Micah Parsons CRU
178 Patrick Surtain II CRU
185 Ja'Marr Chase AA
195 Kadarius Toney AA
197 Carlos Basham Jr. AA
198 Caleb Farley AA
200 Greg Rousseau AA


---------------Silver/Holo
8 Russell Wilson
71 Henry Ruggs III
88 Saquon Barkley
146 Trevon Moehrig
182 Zach Wilson AA
183 Mac Jones AA


---------------Cracked Red Ice Rookie Autos
JaCoby Stevens, LSU, S - Eagles 6th round (224)
Luke Farrell, Ohio State, TE - Jaguars 5th round (145)
Tarik Black, Texas, WR - Colts UDFA

[bakemeister52]

Totally amazing and thanks for sharing!

Bake

[FireRob]

Great write up review!
Don’t blame you at all for wanting to keep the Justin Fields ;-)


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[jplcom]

Great write up review!
Don’t blame you at all for wanting to keep the Justin Fields ;-)


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I have built up plenty of doubles - if you think you might start collecting him and I'm sure we can work out some trades :)

[jplcom]

Here's pictures of the hits

[FireRob]

I have built up plenty of doubles - if you think you might start collecting him and I'm sure we can work out some trades :)

I have already started! Been keeping an eye on the eBay listings and snatched up a variety of some of the cheaper cards that have been going for just a couple of bucks.

Looking forward to the regular Prizm to be released and hope the base Fields stays at a reasonable price. Also wanting any one of his auto cards but they are selling for more than I’m willing to pay.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[SavageNate]

I'd be interested in the Rus Wilson and any other Badger cards :)