bust or sit on boxes??

[patsfan84]

ok so i was chatting with the local card shop guy last night, unfortunely he will be closing up shop at the store in the next week or 3. but the discussion came to the hobby today, obviously it is a great buyers market for singles, not so much for sellers, as some of the prices on ebay are ridiculously low. but i want to know and am thinking instead of busting the boxes and getting singles that you wont get your money back what about sitting on the box for 15 20 years, obviously not a high redemption set like artifacts or ultra, but say an spx, spa, or bd, what not. when that years rookie class is about to retire and maybe a few hofs are in it. would you not easily get 2 to 3x more for a sealed box from that year than you would if you bust it now?? i mean look at 2000 football boxes are through the roof if you can find them, same with ud series 1 05/06 or the cup 05/06. woul those prices not be even higher in 20 years? anyways just want to know your thoughts thanks for the read

[v3rs3]

It's only if there are some top name players in it by the end of their career.

[patsfan84]

yea that is true but say the 06/07 or 07/08 classes were pretty good with rookies, this years probably not sooo much lol i mean jt, duchene, vanrymsdyk (sp) but the rest of the big guns are d. so probably not a huge hof class one day. but does that mean then that it is best to sit on them when the rookie class is good?

[mrbungle]

It shows that with almost everything, keeping the product in it's original state (or as close to it as possible) will always make it worth more in the future.

Examples: Cars, toys, records, furniture, art, etc etc.

I see no difference in card boxes. The chance of pulling a twenty or thirty year old RC in MINT condition is almost too much of a temptation for a lot of people. Especially if those boxes come from the draft year of certain players.

[patsfan84]

cool, i think i may sit on a fw boxes from recent years or future ones, maybe bust one in 10 yrs lol. and valid point on everything mr bungle.

[Jaso1199]

I agree, maybe bust a box now to "scratch the itch" buy another to bust in 5 years, another for 10 years kind of thing. Makes me think, when i was a kid, i was in beavers ( younger version of boy scouts) i made this little tube type thing with drawings and things like that. I made that when i was 6 LOL. Still have to wait 5 more years for it. Just put the boxes in a very secluded place, and forget about them for a few years.

[30ranfordfan]

I like the idea, but how many people said that 20 years ago?

I know what everyone will say.... today's market is way different from the early 1990s...... but it is *THAT* much different?

[mxaxtxtx]

There are a number of factors that you would have to take into consideration, such as how much will card technology have changed by then? Will Jersey cards still be relevant in 15-20 years? Are the print runs right now too high on some of these cards, such as SP FW? Look back 10-15 years ago, the print runs were ridiculously high and a lot of those cards booked so much higher than they do now. I guess if I had to summarize my thoughts on this, not only does the player class matter, but the set design and print.

[patsfan84]

well thats why i am asking :) now i was born in 84, so what were the cost of those early 90s cards when they released like score and pro set and upper deck? where they expensive or where they like 30 a box?

[patsfan84]

There are a number of factors that you would have to take into consideration, such as how much will card technology have changed by then? Will Jersey cards still be relevant in 15-20 years? Are the print runs right now too high on some of these cards, such as SP FW? Look back 10-15 years ago, the print runs were ridiculously high and a lot of those cards booked so much higher than they do now. I guess if I had to summarize my thoughts on this, not only does the player class matter, but the set design and print.

well that is what i am trying to ask obviously some sets you wouldnt ever hold like artifacts or ecent ultras where the rookies are practically all redemptions, but say if you hold onto a box of 06/07 spa?? or a tin of the cup or black