By The Numbers: 2011/12 The Cup

[flopfish]

*EDIT* Download my makeshift spreadsheet version HERE
DOWNLOAD CHECKLIST WITH TEAM CHECKLISTS HERE (PDF FORMAT, TEAMS START IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER ON PAGE 2)

Upon the checklist being released, I went hard at work crunching some numbers for The Cup... Some more shocking than others. I'll add more tomorrow with teams and such, but I must say... There are a ton of cards. We can safely put to rest that this year, baring more than 5 cards a tin, this is not as shortprinted as previous years, but instead has the most cards with the additions of the SPA Extended Series adding 4 more plates per rookie, the new rookie tags and rookie black autos /5, and update cards. Also, without a print run on the Rookie Evolutions (probably video cards), I went ahead and Guess-timated the print run at 25 per card because it seems the closest. Anyways, without further ado, here are the first numbers I crunched out:


*REVISED OFF BY A FEW CARDS*
Total Cards Assuming Rookie Evolutions /25: 85,976
Total 1/1s NOT including plates: 541
Total 1/1s Including Plates: 3,973
Total Shields: 176
Total Property Ofs: 53

Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,330
Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,389. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher.

Odds of getting a 1/1 (No Plates):
This is assuming you get 2 base per tin and 1 rookie patch auto, leaving the other 3 hits undetermined: 1.44%, in other words 14 tins in 1000 will carry a true 1/1 (Shield, Property of, Base Tag /1, Base /1, Rookies /1, randoms /1, Cuts /1)

Odds of getting a 1/1 (With Plates): 10.6%.
That's right, including plates, less than every 10 tins will contain a 1/1.

[flopfish]

For everyone going into The Cup team breaks, this post is for you. This is probably the most indepth resource you will ever find, and I am very, very proud to have done it :) If you post this on another site, it'd mean a lot if you could give some credit to me for it, as I am on hour 7 of piecing it together!

What this is: It's a list of all of the times a team will have a player appear on a card for them (Assuming Canada cards go to their current team or to the team they played the most on.) It's not the amount of cards like they have 5 base, 3 RPAs, etc, it's the TOTAL PRINT RUN on all of the cards their team appears on. No odds are given (i.e. if they have a triple card with two players from their team on it, it's only one time.)

Anaheim Ducks	2820
Boston Bruins	3850
Buffalo Sabres	3911
Calgary Flames	2611
Carolina Hurricanes	1308
Chicago Blackhawks	4787
Colorado Avalanche	4138
Columbus Blue Jackets	3435
Dallas Stars	1820
Detroit Red Wings	3578
Edmonton OIlers	5891
Florida Panthers	491
Los Angeles Kings	2448
Minnesota Wild	623
Montreal Canadiens	4741
Nashville Predators	2392
New Jersey Devils	3425
New York Islanders	2424
New York Rangers	3383
Ottawa Senators	2665
Philadelphia Flyers	4887
Phoenix Coyotes	1040
Pittsburgh Penguins	6150
St. Louis Blues	1082
San Jose Sharks	1953
Tampa Bay Lightning	1497
Toronto Maple Leafs	2622
Vancouver Canucks	3519
Washington Capitals	2385
Winnipeg Jets	1812

There are the cards per team, total print run

[flopfish]

Updated with more accurate info.

[centrehice]

"Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,330
Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,389. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher."

Wow, that's a lot of cases....

This is why I love 1990-91 Bowman and Topps Tiffany. Only 400 cases total of each product made.

[gatesnapper]

wow! great info Flopfish. very interesting.

[flopfish]

"Assuming there are 6 cards per tin in every tin (No decoys making it 5 cards), the lowest amount of tins produced is: 14,330
Divide this by 6 and the amount of cases you have is 2,389. That's the lowest possible amount. If there are decoys it will be much higher."

Wow, that's a lot of cases....

This is why I love 1990-91 Bowman and Topps Tiffany. Only 400 cases total of each product made.

Same with Captain C... even w/o an NHL license it was insane.

wow! great info Flopfish. very interesting.

No problem


Put up a team checklist download!

[Shotgun]

wow really nice thanks!