Topps Mayo Production Runs (Fuzzy Math version)

[aric]

I used the odds on the back of a retail and hobby pack to figure out an approximate production run. The odds on a hobby pack are slightlly different to make up for the difference to cards per pack. 6 for retail, 8 for hobby. Feel free to shoot holes in my math.

There are 330 cards in the Mayo set. The Harvard mini parallel is numbered to 25. That means there are (330x25=)8250 total Harvard mini's. Pack odds on a retail pack say they are distributed 1:66 packs. If they were evenly distributed throughout the entire retail pack run that would mean there would be (8250x66=)544,000 retail packs. But since they were also evenly distributed in hobby packs at a rate of 1:50 packs, if they were distributed in only the hobby that would mean there would be (8250x50=)412,500 hobby packs. If there were half in retail and half in hobby, that means there are 272,000 retail packs of 6 and 206,000 hobby packs of 8.

So....(272K x 6 = 1.6M) and (206K x 8 = 1.6M) . 1.6 million retail cards + 1.6 million hobby cards = 3.2 million cards total.

3.2 million cards / 330 cards in set = about 10,000 of each card



Furthermore, if there is one mini in each pack and there are 272K retail packs and 206K hobby packs. That would mean 478,000 total minis.

478,000 / 330 cards in set = 1448 of each card. Since this doesn't take into account the ships, horses, and parallels. I'm thinking its probably closer to 1250 of each black back mini.

[kool_dover]

uuuuuuuuuuuuuuhhhhhhm ok

[cbrjunkie888]

cool bean...lol