OFFICIAL 2012 Election Day Thread.

[AUTaxMan]

Then you missed the fact of woman voters...

What is not in the Poll is more telling then what is it the poll

What is not in the polls (all five of them)?

[mrveggieman]

OK, sure.

Let's just wait and see...

BTW, Nate Silver is giving Obama a 91.6% chance of winning with 314.6 (Average) electoral votes!

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

^This is based on a sophisticated Formula....BTW, Nate Silver correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008!

That's great news but I am proceding with cautious optimism. My wife waited to the last minute to vote. It's raining down here but I told her I don't care what happens. Stay down there all day to put your vote in for President Obama. She is an even bigger Obama supporter than I am. I don't care if she has to miss a day of pay and that means no money to buy tickets to games for autographs or cards then so be it. I would gladly trade a couple of games of NBA IP autos in exchange to not have to deal with twit romney and fall ryan destroying our country for the next 4 years.

[MadMan1978]

What is not in the polls (all five of them)?

When the one you cited is over 70% white?
as well the age 59% were over 50?

Sorry I dont have time to read all the demographics of the polls that provide that background info

[JustAlex]

BTW, this Nate Silver guy actually did put his money where his mouth is....

He tried to do a friendly wager with Joe Scarborough about the election.

He is SO conifdent in his formula that he tried to place a $2000 bet that Obama will win tonight:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/1...n_2056401.html


Here is more on Nate Silver:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/1...n_2082041.html

[AUTaxMan]

When the one you cited is over 70% white?
as well the age 59% were over 50?

Sorry I dont have time to read all the demographics of the polls that provide that background info

If you don't have time for the details then you shouldn't be opining on their reliability.

[Zimbow]

Earlier I was driving home from work and was listening to the John Boy and Billy Show, which is based out of Charlotte, North Carolina I believe, and we get it here in Va from 99.3 The Fox. Every time they took a break from their show, it was nothing but Mitt Romney ads. I wanted to know, is North Carolina primarily for Romney?

[JustAlex]

I wanted to know, is North Carolina primarily for Romney?

Yes.

The majority of the projections I've seen have NC for Romney.

Virginia is one of the toss up states, although several polls have gone in favor for Obama in the past 2 days.

[AUTaxMan]

Earlier I was driving home from work and was listening to the John Boy and Billy Show, which is based out of Charlotte, North Carolina I believe, and we get it here in Va from 99.3 The Fox. Every time they took a break from their show, it was nothing but Mitt Romney ads. I wanted to know, is North Carolina primarily for Romney?

Yes

[JustAlex]

Intrade gives Obama a 73% chance to win.

For those that don't know what "Intrade" is, they are the "World's largest prediction market" where you can actually buy shares based on the predictions they make:

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/co...tractId=743474

^these guys WOULD NOT say this just for saying it, they have A LOT of money riding on this.

Nate Silver probably has his job/livelihood riding on his 92% prediction as well.


I'm a very scientific person, and when prediction models ALL point towards the same thing, chances are pretty good that those prediction models are correct!

[Wickabee]

If you don't have time for the details then you shouldn't be opining on their reliability.

That's right. If you have no time for details you should read AUTs posts and listen to the Romney platform.

Not a detail in sight there.