OFFICIAL 2012 Election Day Thread.

[AUTaxMan]

LOL, Romney's not taking PA.

I'll admit that he'll probably take Florida (as much as it pains me) but last time I checked, PA has Obama up 5 points in polls as late as Nov. 4!

Gravis Marketing is the latest PA poll I found (11/4). They are showing O with a 3 point lead. MoE is 3%. Thus, it is essentially tied. Oh yeah, they sampled 43% D, 32% R and 25% I. If you think that is a fair representation of how the parties will be represented in PA today, I think you are fooling yourself.

[MadMan1978]

Gravis Marketing is the latest PA poll I found (11/4). They are showing O with a 3 point lead. MoE is 3%. Thus, it is essentially tied. Oh yeah, they sampled 43% D, 32% R and 25% I. If you think that is a fair representation of how the parties will be represented in PA today, I think you are fooling yourself.

and using that one poll -you are fooling yourself

[JustAlex]

Alex there was something on the Ballet about Animal abuse in your area? How does it on passing ?

Yeah, I think I read something about it.

Ugh, I can't remember exactly what it said though.....my precinct had 5 pages (back and front)!

[AUTaxMan]

and using that one poll -your fooling yourself

Morning Call, 11/1-3, Obama by 3%, MOE 5%, 46D-42R-11I
PPP, 11/2-3, Obama by 6%, MOE 3.5%, 48D-38R-14I
TRS, 10/28-11/1, Tie, MOE 3.5%, no stats on sampling avail.
Franklin & Marshall, 10/23-28, Obama by 4%, MOE 4.2%, 50D-37R-12I

Almost all results within MOE and the Dems sampled greatly outweighs the Reps.

[JustAlex]

Gravis Marketing is the latest PA poll I found (11/4). They are showing O with a 3 point lead. MoE is 3%. Thus, it is essentially tied. Oh yeah, they sampled 43% D, 32% R and 25% I. If you think that is a fair representation of how the parties will be represented in PA today, I think you are fooling yourself.

OK, sure.

Let's just wait and see...

BTW, Nate Silver is giving Obama a 91.6% chance of winning with 314.6 (Average) electoral votes!

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

^This is based on a sophisticated Formula....BTW, Nate Silver correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008!

[MadMan1978]

Morning Call, 11/1-3, Obama by 3%, MOE 5%, 46D-42R-11I
PPP, 11/2-3, Obama by 6%, MOE 3.5%, 48D-38R-14I
TRS, 10/28-11/1, Tie, MOE 3.5%, no stats on sampling avail.
Franklin & Marshall, 10/23-28, Obama by 4%, MOE 4.2%, 50D-37R-12I

Almost all results within MOE and the Dems sampled greatly outweighs the Reps.

and it was over 70% white....

You use a single poll-Not sure who paid for it
But you need to take a number of polls
You can take the number and bend them any way you wish in the end Obama most likely will win Penn

[AUTaxMan]

and it was over 70% white....

You use a single poll-Not sure who paid for it
But you need to take a number of polls
You can take the number and bend them any way you wish in the end Obama most likely will win Penn

These are 4 more polls done within the past week. I have used 5 total to illustrate my point.

[AUTaxMan]

OK, sure.

Let's just wait and see...

BTW, Nate Silver is giving Obama a 91.6% chance of winning with 314.6 (Average) electoral votes!

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

^This is based on a sophisticated Formula....BTW, Nate Silver correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008!

How hard was 2008 to predict?

[JustAlex]

How hard was 2008 to predict?

And the fact that he says that his formula is giving Obama almost a 92% chance of winning?

Does the GOP not even care about numbers?

We all know the GOP makes their own facts!

[MadMan1978]

These are 4 more polls done within the past week. I have used 5 total to illustrate my point.

Then you missed the fact of woman voters...

What is not in the Poll is more telling then what is it the poll